Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.194196 0.218963 0.245104 0.274695 0.307203 0.341769 0.381242
2025-06-08 0.159766 0.192975 0.229996 0.274128 0.325096 0.381897 0.449766
2025-06-15 0.138797 0.177866 0.223489 0.280274 0.348593 0.427665 0.525588
2025-06-22 0.119872 0.162200 0.213763 0.280467 0.363665 0.463167 0.590227
2025-06-29 0.104735 0.149035 0.205134 0.280281 0.377068 0.496206 0.652446
2025-07-06 0.092413 0.137853 0.197506 0.280008 0.389399 0.527563 0.713074
2025-07-13 0.083493 0.130090 0.193310 0.283308 0.405772 0.564011 0.780906
2025-07-20 0.077342 0.125410 0.192608 0.290783 0.427490 0.607713 0.859239
2025-07-27 0.070417 0.118809 0.188494 0.292921 0.441618 0.641461 0.925210
2025-08-03 0.065537 0.114708 0.187466 0.299040 0.461139 0.682775 1.002303
2025-08-10 0.061697 0.111785 0.187806 0.306899 0.483149 0.727945 1.085779
2025-08-17 0.055965 0.105254 0.182126 0.305318 0.491213 0.753679 1.142902
2025-08-24 0.050809 0.099318 0.177123 0.304720 0.501081 0.782922 1.206908
2025-08-31 0.046112 0.093676 0.172110 0.303684 0.510067 0.811034 1.270061
2025-09-07 0.043377 0.091178 0.171950 0.310147 0.530528 0.856327 1.359104
2025-09-14 0.039731 0.086650 0.168034 0.310233 0.540985 0.887036 1.427661
2025-09-21 0.036394 0.082337 0.164113 0.309965 0.550687 0.916715 1.495335
2025-09-28 0.033377 0.078310 0.160348 0.309633 0.560098 0.946049 1.563095
2025-10-05 0.031223 0.075754 0.158977 0.313201 0.575814 0.985347 1.646738
2025-10-12 0.029880 0.074706 0.160238 0.321315 0.599188 1.037066 1.750476
2025-10-19 0.027871 0.072051 0.158303 0.323632 0.612910 1.073953 1.832266
2025-10-26 0.026559 0.070751 0.158814 0.330277 0.634061 1.123059 1.934058
2025-11-02 0.025554 0.070025 0.160355 0.338811 0.658654 1.178232 2.046527